For full functionality of this publication it is necessary to enable Javascript.

Click here to see instructions how to enable JavaScript in your web browser.


<--

It’s Time to Rethink Customer Lifetime Value

Look past transactions to interactions

BY PAUL GREENBERG

It’s Time to Rethink Customer Lifetime Value

Look past transactions to interactions

BY PAUL GREENBERG

It’s Time to Rethink Customer Lifetime Value

Look past transactions to interactions

BY PAUL GREENBERG

Both CLV and NPS were important in their day, but that day has passed.

Back in 2003 or so, Orbitel, a telecommunications company in Colombia, tried something really interesting. It did some research and found the business decision makers who would influence the procurement of phone services at their companies. Regardless of the level of residential service these decision makers currently had, Orbitel treated them as high-value customers.  Even if they spent the equivalent of just $30 per month, it didn’t matter. They were high value.

The concept was simple. Treat them well and that will translate to business decisions on phone service that could benefit Orbitel.  

To be honest, I don’t remember the exact results, only that Orbitel made the right move and the results for businesses choosing them were noticeably better.  

What makes this a good story is that Orbitel wasn’t equating high value only with high customer lifetime value, but was focused on the anticipated behavior of the customer in a different context. It wasn’t just a left-brained decision but a right-brained one, not just transactions, but interactions. 

We’ve reached the point with the ascension of the digital customer where how we measure the value of a customer has to change.  The two metrics for customer value that tend to have credence now are customer lifetime value (CLV) and Net Promoter Score (NPS).  Let’s take an abbreviated look at each of them and then start positing the replacement—which is actually easier than you might think.

 

Customer Lifetime Value

Historically, CLV has been the financial value, typically the net profit, that an individual and/or his immediate household has over the life of the anticipated relationship to a company. I won’t go through the permutations of CLV’s formula, for they vary quite a bit. Just hold on to this. 

 

Net Promoter Score

NPS is ostensibly a measure of advocacy developed by Fred Reichheld, Bain and Company, and Satmetrix.  It is based on a single question asked of the customers of a company: “Would you recommend this company to someone you know?” On a scale of 1 to 10, a 9 or 10 is a promoter; 0 to 6 is a detractor; and everything in between is pretty much blah or, as Reichheld et al. put it, “passives.” The NPS is the score of promoters minus detractors—with a scale that ranges from minus 100 to plus 100. Theoretically, it tells you the level of enthusiasm for and commitment to your company. 

Both CLV and NPS were important in their day, but that day has passed in both cases. We are now dealing with digital customers who have a much wider capability to communicate with a company and with their peers about brands. In addition, as the Edelman Trust Barometer revealed in 2006, peers (or “a person like me”) were seen as credible spokespersons—signaling the rise of peer influencers. This has had a big impact on how we have to think of customer value. It is no longer as simple as the financial value of the household or the loyalty of the promoter. The measurements have to supersede both of them. 

 

Who’s Responsible? 

I’d love to say that I’ve come up with the new measurements for customer value, but I haven’t. However, do not mock me. V. Kumar, Ph.D., a longtime rock star customer-value expert, has. Kumar runs the Georgia State University Center for Excellence in Brand & Customer Management and has awards and titles that are too numerous to list here. He’s written a book, Profitable Customer Management: Concepts, Metrics and Strategies, that, as far as I’m concerned, starts the discussion on the metrics necessary to identify customer value in this era of engagement. Inadvertently, since I’m sure it wasn’t his intent, he makes CLV and NPS obsolete in the process. 

 

Beyond CLV and NPS

So how do you define and find customer value when digital customers are becoming the norm? These are customers who not only buy stuff; they talk about brands to their peers on social networks, and they feel empowered to ask for—or even, at times, feel entitled to—a highly personalized experience from the companies they’re investing their time, effort, and money in. They are customers who expect rewards for their brand commitments.  

Kumar starts from the premise, as do I, that value is no longer derived from just the financial commitments that a customer makes, but from much more. CLV is just a part of the actual customer engagement value that encompasses so much more. In Kumar’s value matrix, there are six components (in no particular order):

1. Customer Lifetime Value—See above.

2. Customer Brand Value—The total value a customer attaches to a brand through her experiences with that brand over time.  This would be something like building brand loyalty or positive awareness of the brand, which then drives the customer’s brand behavior—e.g., consistent transactions, top-of-mind purchasing, etc. 

3. Customer Referral Value—This would be customers influencing other customers to buy or engage the brand via incentive-based referral programs. “You get ten points if you get a friend to sign up for the community.” Or, as Karmaloops does, if your friend inputs your specific ID number when he purchases something, you get X in return. CRV has to do with formal referral programs. You’ll see why that’s meaningful in a bit.

4. Business Reference Value—This is for a B2B setting, where the references have an impact on the buying decision. This could mean an influencer inside a company who knows the buying decision maker, or a reference offered by the vendor to influence a positive purchase decision. 

5. Customer Influence Value—This, unlike customer referral value, is more what we now see as social brand influence (for example). This is where word of mouth affects buying decisions. We’ve seen the stats. Peers, according to Edelman’s Trust Barometer in 2014, are one of the trusted sources of choice for 82 percent of the respondents. We’ve also all seen the numbers that reflect the polar opposite—the lack of brand trust via advertising ranges from 72 percent to 94 percent of the respondents, depending on who you’re reading. So the fact that a friend of mine, or someone who I perceive has similar interests to me, might influence me to buy your product or service due to his glowing recommendation on Twitter or Facebook is a real measure of value too—the indirect impact on revenue. 

6. Customer Knowledge Value—This is the value of feedback from customers, information a company can then use in creating products customers want. Given that the product failure rate is between 40 percent and 70 percent, according to Kumar, this is a significant part of the value proposition. The customer getting her needs fulfilled is likely to reduce the failure rate of the new products. A huge part of value. 

You can see the complexity here. The new breed of customer, who is more engaged with the company than ever in either a passionate or a utilitarian way, or anything in between, is the source of a lot of different streams of value to the company. The old model, where the customer is a loyal customer or isn’t, is over. The days in which the customer’s investment, past and anticipated, in the company was the measure of his value are over. We now have many ways that a customer can be engaged to provide value, and both the company and the customer benefit, as long as the company is smart enough to recognize the multiple possibilities for the provision of value—and provides the attention to the customer they need accordingly.   

Think of it this way. In 2014, Gallup did a study on the value of the fully engaged customer to a company that took some of this into account in its own determination of value. They found that a fully engaged customer provided a 23 percent premium over a normally engaged customer. The value metrics they used were customer loyalty, revenue, etc. No matter how you cut it, the value of customer engagement is immense. It’s now time to quantify exactly what that immensity is, and with the work that Kumar is doing, we are on the right track.   

   

Paul Greenberg is the managing principal of The 56 Group, a customer strategy company. He is also the author of CRM at the Speed of Light, which is in nine languages and is currently in its fourth edition. He is the author of the upcoming Commonwealth of Self Interest, to be published in 2016.